Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.407940e-05 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000066 0.000076 0.000088
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.726472e-05 0.000036 0.000046 0.000058 0.000073 0.000089 0.000109
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.106893e-05 0.000031 0.000042 0.000057 0.000075 0.000096 0.000123
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.718335e-05 0.000027 0.000040 0.000057 0.000078 0.000104 0.000137
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.345601e-05 0.000023 0.000036 0.000055 0.000079 0.000108 0.000147
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.069907e-05 0.000020 0.000033 0.000053 0.000079 0.000112 0.000157
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.946373e-06 0.000018 0.000032 0.000053 0.000081 0.000119 0.000169
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.231871e-06 0.000016 0.000030 0.000051 0.000082 0.000123 0.000178
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.875690e-06 0.000014 0.000028 0.000050 0.000083 0.000127 0.000188
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.693203e-06 0.000013 0.000026 0.000049 0.000083 0.000130 0.000196
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.601730e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000047 0.000082 0.000131 0.000202
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.675303e-06 0.000009 0.000022 0.000045 0.000081 0.000132 0.000206
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.851949e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000043 0.000081 0.000136 0.000217
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.513360e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000045 0.000086 0.000147 0.000238
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.018459e-06 0.000006 0.000018 0.000043 0.000087 0.000152 0.000250
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.241983e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000043 0.000089 0.000159 0.000266
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.355176e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000041 0.000088 0.000162 0.000276
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.537407e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000040 0.000088 0.000165 0.000286
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.603567e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000040 0.000090 0.000172 0.000302
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.402778e-08 0.000003 0.000013 0.000039 0.000091 0.000176 0.000314
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.995532e-08 0.000002 0.000012 0.000038 0.000092 0.000181 0.000326
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.472432e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000037 0.000092 0.000184 0.000336
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.870617e-09 0.000001 0.000010 0.000035 0.000090 0.000185 0.000343